مجلة الاربعين المحكمة

البحوث الانسانية

Using time series analysis to predict the number of visitors to Imam Hussein’s Ar- .baeen in 2024 and 2025

الملخص

The visit known as the Arbaeen happened forty days after Imam Hussein›s (peace be upon him) martyrdom on the tenth of Muharram in the year 61 AH. Delegations from various Iraqi cities and villages travel to Karbala, the home of Al-Hussein (peace be upon him), and they are accompanied by sizable delegations of Ahl al-Bayt school adherents from a variety of nations, including Iran, Bahrain, Kuwait, Lebanon, Pakistan, and others. In this research, we examine the estimation values for the numbers of visitors by utilizing time series analysis and A few tests are the mathematical time period needed to validate our findings. To determine whether the results are accurate by the sample number of visits from 2017 to 2023 provided by the Holy Imam Hussein Shrine’s General Secretariat. Because government organizations and the Holy Shrine need to be able to provide efficient services, including a counter for food and health services and a comfortable place for visitors to sleep, it is vital to forecast the number of visitors.

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